XRP Price Prediction: What If XRPL Handles Hidden Road’s Entire $3 Trillion Annual Volume?
With Ripple’s recent $1.25 billion acquisition of Hidden Road, a multi-asset prime brokerage clearing over $3 trillion annually, speculation is swirling over what this could mean for the XRP Ledger (XRPL)—and more specifically, the price of XRP. If Hidden Road were to migrate its full transaction volume to XRPL, the implications could be transformative, potentially driving significant demand for XRP as a bridge asset and increasing its price considerably.
Let’s break down the potential impact, XRP’s current fundamentals, and a data-driven forecast based on this hypothetical migration scenario.
Understanding the Context: Hidden Road and XRP Ledger
Hidden Road is a global prime brokerage that offers services across foreign exchange (FX), digital assets, equities, and fixed income. With over 300 institutional clients, it facilitates over $10 billion in daily clearing volume. Ripple’s acquisition, announced in April 2025, positions XRP and the XRPL to serve as the foundational settlement infrastructure for a vast range of financial transactions—if integration is fully realized.
The XRP Ledger is known for its speed (3-5 seconds per transaction), low cost (fractions of a cent), and scalability (1,500+ TPS). Its decentralized nature and focus on cross-border payments make it an ideal candidate for clearing massive institutional flows. With Hidden Road’s migration plans now underway, speculation is mounting over what this volume could mean for XRP demand and price performance.
XRP Tokenomics: Supply, Utility, and Scarcity
XRP has a maximum supply of 100 billion tokens, with around 54 billion currently in circulation. While a significant portion of XRP remains in escrow, monthly unlocks continue to gradually release more into the market. However, increased real-world utility—particularly in cross-border finance—can absorb this supply and generate long-term upward price pressure.
XRP is the native asset used to facilitate transfers, liquidity provisioning, and transaction fees on the XRPL. If Hidden Road begins settling even a fraction of its $3 trillion in annual volume on the ledger, it would significantly increase the demand for XRP.
Price Forecast Model: What If XRP Clears $3 Trillion Annually?
Let’s assume Hidden Road’s full volume is eventually migrated to XRPL. That’s $3 trillion per year.
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Assumption 1: XRP is used to bridge at least 25% of that daily volume.
That’s $2.05 billion per day requiring XRP liquidity. -
Assumption 2: Average transaction turnaround is 5 minutes, allowing 288 settlement cycles per day.
Based on these assumptions, the required circulating liquidity for XRP would be:
2.05 billion288≈7.12 million USD in XRP liquidity per cycle\frac{2.05 \text{ billion}}{288} \approx 7.12 \text{ million USD in XRP liquidity per cycle}
To meet this, XRP’s price must rise to accommodate deeper liquidity and tighter spreads.
If XRP is already trading around $2, a utility-driven push could bring it to $3 to $5 in the near term. Over time, as more volume and participants join XRPL through Hidden Road and similar institutions, XRP could test $3–$5, especially if macro crypto conditions remain bullish and regulatory clarity improves.
Conclusion
If Ripple succeeds in onboarding Hidden Road’s full $3 trillion annual volume onto XRPL, XRP’s price could undergo a significant revaluation. While not all volume may be bridged using XRP, even partial utility adoption can introduce billions in liquidity demand—tightening supply, raising on-chain activity, and shifting XRP’s market position.
As institutional adoption of blockchain infrastructure increases, XRP may transform from a speculative asset into a backbone of global finance. Whether it reaches $2 or $5 in the next cycle will depend on how much of this integration materializes—and how fast the world embraces tokenized settlement.
