Jupiter Launches Kalshi-Powered Prediction Market on Solana
Jupiter, the leading decentralized exchange on Solana, has launched its first prediction market platform. The beta version went live on October 22, 2025, marking the DEX’s expansion beyond traditional token swaps. The inaugural market centers on the Formula 1 Mexico Grand Prix, scheduled for October 27, 2025. This partnership with Kalshi brings US-compliant prediction trading to the Solana ecosystem.
The platform enables users to speculate on race outcomes through binary contracts. Traders can predict whether drivers like Max Verstappen, Lando Norris, Oscar Piastri, or George Russell will claim victory. According to market data, Max Verstappen leads with betting odds at 47.61%, followed by Lando Norris at 27.3%.
Kalshi Integration Powers Jupiter’s Prediction Market Platform
The integration leverages Kalshi’s regulatory framework to ensure compliance with federal standards while utilizing Solana’s high-speed, low-fee architecture. Kalshi supplies event data and verification, while Jupiter’s smart contracts handle trading and payouts. This combination aims to deliver transparent pricing and liquidity through on-chain trading with data-driven resolution.
Jupiter has implemented initial trading limits to ensure market stability during beta testing. The platform caps global contracts at 100,000 and individual positions at 1,000 contracts. These restrictions help the platform scale its order books while encouraging retail participation with modest token stakes.
Users connect through familiar Solana wallets like Phantom, executing trades through Jupiter’s V6 aggregator for optimal liquidity routing. The system operates on a straightforward mechanism. Traders receive $1 for every correct position, while incorrect predictions receive no payout.
Growing Competition in Prediction Market Sector
The prediction market sector has experienced substantial growth, with Kalshi’s trading volume exceeding $1 billion in early October 2025. This represents significant growth from $300 million the previous year. Total value locked across prediction market platforms has reached $241.9 million.
Micro-betting trends are projected to generate up to $1 billion in revenue in 2025, rising to $3.5 billion in 2026. Jupiter added Kalshi to its platform following MetaMask’s integration of Polymarket. Polymarket is now accessible on Solana without requiring stablecoin bridging.
Both platforms compete for retail attention in the US market. Kalshi specializes in sports betting to differentiate from Polymarket’s political predictions. Kalshi recently secured funding that valued the company at $5 billion, backed by Andreessen Horowitz, Sequoia Capital, Paradigm, and Coinbase Ventures.
Future Expansion of Jupiter Prediction Markets
Jupiter currently ranks second on Solana, with over $3.76 billion in total value locked. TVL has grown in recent months following the launch of Jupiter Lend. The prediction market represents another strategic expansion for the platform.
Jupiter plans to broaden its prediction market vertical by expanding to more event categories and integrating cross-chain features. The platform could expand to cover interest rate changes, crypto regulation updates, or geopolitical events. The beta rollout supports straightforward, low-value bets to encourage onboarding and liquidity building.
Retail-friendly micro-betting with short-duration markets and transparent on-chain reporting are expected to attract more traders in 2025-2026. The Jupiter-Kalshi partnership positions both platforms at the forefront of decentralized event-based trading.
Conclusion
Jupiter’s prediction market launch represents a strategic move into the rapidly expanding prediction trading sector. The Kalshi partnership brings regulatory compliance and robust liquidity to Solana’s DeFi ecosystem. The platform combines transparent on-chain settlement with low-latency pricing to create accessible event-based trading opportunities.
